Portuguesa FC vs Angostura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
7º
5º
6
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
APC
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 2
POR
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
EST
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Angostura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
CAR
35%
31%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
ANG
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 1
BAR
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
ANG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |