U21 EC Qualifying Repescas Final
Global 2-3
Portugal U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
POR
4 - 2
BIH
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 9
POR
5%
13%
82%
|
81 | 5 | 76 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 2
POR
10%
18%
72%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
ROU
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
POL
3 - 0
GEO
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 1
POL
63%
19%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
POL
1 - 1
FRO
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |