Portugal U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
FRA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MDA
0 - 2
POR
11%
20%
69%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
SVK
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
AUT
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
POR
4 - 2
GER
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
RUS
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 3
POL
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
DEN
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
GRC
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POL
0 - 1
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |