Portugal U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
GEO
2 - 0
POR
7%
15%
79%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ROU
0 - 2
POR
17%
21%
62%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
JPN
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
POR
5 - 1
CZE
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
NED
34%
25%
42%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
CZE
1 - 1
NED
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ROU
0 - 0
NED
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
NED
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |