Portugal U21 vs Germany U21 analysis

Portugal U21 Germany U21
80 ELO 79
6% Tilt -5.3%
292º General ELO ranking 331º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
37.9%
Portugal U21
22.9%
Draw
39.1%
Germany U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
Portugal U21
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.1%
Win probability
Germany U21
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugal U21
+2%
-3%
Germany U21

ELO progression

Portugal U21
Germany U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U21
Portugal U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2015
POR
Portugal U21
1 - 1
Sweden U21
SWE
58%
22%
20%
79 73 6 0
21 Jun. 2015
ITA
Italy U21
0 - 0
Portugal U21
POR
45%
25%
29%
79 80 1 0
18 Jun. 2015
ENG
England U21
0 - 1
Portugal U21
POR
53%
23%
24%
79 80 1 0
31 Mar. 2015
CZE
Czech Republic U21
1 - 0
Portugal U21
POR
33%
26%
41%
79 71 8 0
26 Mar. 2015
POR
Portugal U21
0 - 0
Denmark U21
DEN
72%
18%
11%
79 65 14 0

Matches

Germany U21
Germany U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jun. 2015
CZE
Czech Republic U21
1 - 1
Germany U21
GER
24%
22%
55%
80 72 8 0
20 Jun. 2015
GER
Germany U21
3 - 0
Denmark U21
DEN
70%
18%
12%
79 66 13 +1
17 Jun. 2015
GER
Germany U21
1 - 1
Serbia U21
SRB
68%
19%
13%
79 69 10 0
30 Mar. 2015
ENG
England U21
3 - 2
Germany U21
GER
47%
24%
30%
80 79 1 -1
27 Mar. 2015
GER
Germany U21
2 - 2
Italy U21
ITA
47%
25%
28%
80 81 1 0
X