Portugal U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 3
PRT
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 1
PRT
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
PRT
3 - 0
CZE
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
PRT
1 - 1
DEU
28%
26%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
PRT
2 - 0
ENG
20%
21%
59%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
58%
21%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 5
ITA
27%
22%
52%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
DEU
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
ITA
7 - 0
ROU
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
CZE
54%
22%
25%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |