Portugal U20 vs Denmark U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
CZE
41%
24%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
ENG
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
GER
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
44%
23%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 3
FRA
26%
22%
52%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 2
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
IRL
0 - 1
DEN
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |