Portugal U19 vs San Marino U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
LUX
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
SRB
2 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
NED
1 - 4
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MLT
4 - 0
SMR
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SMR
0 - 4
NED
13%
19%
69%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
SMR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
FRO
4 - 0
SMR
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |