Portugal U17 vs Croatia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
NIR
1 - 3
POR
24%
23%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
MNE
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
AZE
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 0
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
BGR
1 - 2
CRO
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 2
ISR
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
0 - 2
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ROU
0 - 3
CRO
31%
25%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 1
BIH
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |