Porto II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
ACV
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
LEX
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FEI
3 - 2
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
ESA
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
SCP
7%
15%
78%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 2
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
PEN
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |