Porto II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FAR
0 - 0
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
EST
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
VSC
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
BEN
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
FAM
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
PEN
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LEX
2 - 1
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 0
ACV
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
PEN
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |