Porto II vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
FEI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
UNM
5 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
SPC
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
ORI
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAR
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 5
UNM
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SCP
5 - 3
FAR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |