Porto II vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
VSC
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
BEN
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
SPC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
FAM
2 - 0
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
ARO
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
PEN
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
EST
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |