Porto II vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 2
POR
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
POR
4 - 1
COV
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MAF
3 - 1
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
POR
1 - 3
LEX
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
ACA
4 - 3
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
ACA
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 1
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
ACA
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 0
ACA
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |