MLS Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SES
1 - 2
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 5
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
RSL
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
SES
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
VAN
2 - 2
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Seattle Sounders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SES
1 - 2
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
SES
1 - 1
GAL
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 0
SES
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
SES
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
SES
1 - 4
VAN
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |