Ponte Preta vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
63%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
PPE
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
PPE
3 - 3
SAO
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PPE
23%
27%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PPE
0 - 0
INT
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
PPE
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
AGU
82%
14%
5%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |