Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PPE
23%
27%
51%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PPE
0 - 0
INT
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
PPE
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
MIR
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 0
CRB
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
SAO
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
14%
26%
60%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
35%
29%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAO
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |