Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
PPE
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
ITU
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
PPE
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PPE
2 - 0
SAO
13%
24%
63%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
PPE
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
16%
23%
62%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
BRA
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |