Ponte Carreira vs Carral B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Carreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
PCA
55%
21%
24%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PCA
1 - 2
MES
52%
21%
27%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SXU
3 - 1
PCA
66%
18%
17%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PCA
3 - 2
SDV
50%
21%
29%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
5 - 2
PCA
81%
11%
8%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carral B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
RDS
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OZA
2 - 1
CAR
85%
10%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 6
CUR
18%
18%
64%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
BRI
26%
20%
54%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAR
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |