Ponferradina vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
14%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
PON
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PON
2 - 2
BOU
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PON
1 - 1
ATB
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ADA
3 - 4
PON
25%
29%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CDT
1 - 0
COX
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 1
RMC
37%
25%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAJ
3 - 0
CDT
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RCF
1 - 0
CDT
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 1
SSR
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |