Poland U19 vs San Marino U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 2
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
POL
2 - 1
LUX
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
POL
1 - 3
GEO
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
POL
1 - 1
UKR
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
POL
1 - 3
ITA
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
FRO
4 - 0
SMR
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 6
POR
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
HUN
5 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
MNE
5 - 0
SMR
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SMR
0 - 4
AUT
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |