Poland U21 vs Latvia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
SWE
3 - 1
POL
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 1
POL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
ENG
4 - 1
POL
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
WAL
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
POL
2 - 2
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Latvia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
POR
3 - 0
LVA
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
LVA
0 - 0
SVK
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
EST
1 - 3
LVA
26%
23%
52%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
LVA
0 - 4
RUS
14%
18%
68%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
RUS
1 - 1
LVA
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |