Kenya Police FC vs AFC Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
TUS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
POL
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
NAI
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KAK
1 - 2
POL
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POL
4 - 0
SOF
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
BFC
49%
28%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
POL
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TLT
0 - 3
AFC
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
BAN
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 1
CSC
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |