Polan vs Casarrubios Balompie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
MOC
24%
22%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 1
POL
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
POL
5 - 1
CAL
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 2
POL
56%
20%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
POL
2 - 3
CDE
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Casarrubios Balompie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 0
CBA
60%
21%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CBA
3 - 1
PUE
72%
16%
13%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
CBA
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CBA
3 - 2
BAR
30%
21%
49%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
URD
10 - 0
CBA
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |