Plymouth Argyle vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2001 |
ROC
2 - 1
PLY
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
LIN
2 - 1
PLY
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
PLY
3 - 3
SOU
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
PLY
3 - 1
GUL
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
KID
3 - 0
PLY
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2001 |
ROC
2 - 1
PLY
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
ROC
1 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2001 |
BPO
3 - 1
ROC
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
ROC
3 - 1
LIN
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
BAR
3 - 0
ROC
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |