Pistoiese vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 1
SDT
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 0
PIS
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PIS
2 - 1
IMO
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ASL
3 - 2
PIS
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 3
PES
18%
26%
57%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MPO
0 - 1
ACS
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TUT
1 - 0
MPO
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MPO
2 - 2
BAS
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MPO
1 - 1
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SDT
3 - 1
MPO
62%
22%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |