Pierikos vs AEP Kozani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
12º
3º
35
2º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
60% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
53.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pierikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PAK
1 - 2
PIE
8%
15%
77%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PIE
1 - 0
OLY
50%
24%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PIE
0 - 0
AOC
89%
9%
3%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
KAS
2 - 1
PIE
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PIE
3 - 0
DOT
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AEP Kozani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
KOZ
0 - 4
MAK
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ENK
5 - 2
KOZ
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KOZ
2 - 4
GAS
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 1
KOZ
14%
20%
67%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PAK
2 - 0
KOZ
5%
12%
83%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | -3 |