Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
5 - 0
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
NER
1 - 2
PHU
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
DCU
2 - 2
PHU
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
2 - 1
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
3 - 0
CIN
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CFS
2 - 2
RBN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CFS
2 - 2
KCW
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CFS
2 - 1
DCU
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
KCW
1 - 0
CFS
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
CFS
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |