Petrolina vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
69.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PET
1 - 0
PES
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PET
2 - 3
YPI
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
PET
2 - 1
CEN
25%
25%
51%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
8 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
POR
84%
12%
5%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
PES
89%
8%
3%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 1
SPO
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 2
SER
87%
9%
3%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
20%
25%
56%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |