Petrolina vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
FEC
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
AFO
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 1
PET
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
PET
28%
23%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
SAN
12%
23%
65%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
85%
12%
4%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
FEC
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAG
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |