Pescara vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PES
3 - 2
ASG
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SES
1 - 2
PES
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PES
3 - 2
ARZ
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PRG
1 - 1
PES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PES
3 - 1
JS2
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
VIS
2 - 2
FER
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 4
CES
11%
23%
65%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
REC
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASG
0 - 0
FER
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
PON
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |