Perugia vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
UDI
2 - 1
PRG
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
PRG
1 - 2
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 1
PRG
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PRG
2 - 0
PIA
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PRG
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
VER
2 - 0
JUV
24%
27%
50%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
62%
22%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
INT
1 - 2
JUV
48%
25%
28%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BOL
0 - 2
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |