Perugia vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 1
PRG
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PRG
1 - 0
BOL
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VNZ
0 - 2
PRG
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PRG
0 - 4
JUV
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
PRG
2 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 2
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 0
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
FIO
0 - 1
LAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PIA
3 - 0
FIO
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
FIO
0 - 1
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |