Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 0
PER
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PER
1 - 0
CCM
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ADE
0 - 2
PER
47%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PER
0 - 3
BRI
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
WPH
47%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
NEW
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |