Primera Finals Final
Global 0-3
Peñarol vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
PEÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 0
PEÑ
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
PEÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
LFC
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
BOS
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |