Penapolense vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
AGU
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RBB
1 - 0
XVD
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
XVD
4 - 0
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |