Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 6-7
Peña Sport vs Subiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 2
PEÑ
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CDA
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
CDB
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
HUA
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SUB
3 - 3
HUA
66%
18%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HUA
0 - 4
SUB
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
SUB
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SUB
1 - 0
COR
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 0
SUB
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |