Pelotas vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
AIM
2 - 0
PEL
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
PEL
3 - 1
FCV
66%
19%
16%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LAJ
2 - 1
PEL
41%
29%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PEL
4 - 1
SGA
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SGA
0 - 2
PEL
29%
28%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
GEB
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
GEB
2 - 4
AIM
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
GEB
17%
19%
64%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GEB
1 - 0
LAJ
31%
27%
41%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
AIM
0 - 1
GEB
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |