PD Rociera vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
ROC
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
CAM
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
ROC
45%
24%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UTR
1 - 0
ROC
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ROC
0 - 0
ADS
45%
24%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EST
3 - 2
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
EST
4 - 1
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 3
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VEN
3 - 1
EST
58%
21%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
UTR
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |