Paysandu vs Itupiranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
PAY
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
3 - 0
SAO
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAY
8%
17%
74%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 0
TOC
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Itupiranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 1
TUN
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AMI
1 - 1
SCI
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAR
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
PAY
4 - 0
SCI
82%
13%
5%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 4
AGU
27%
23%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |