Paraense Inicial Fase Final Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Paysandu vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
PAY
0 - 3
FLU
9%
20%
71%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAY
12%
20%
68%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 1
TUN
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TUN
1 - 4
PAY
14%
18%
69%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
PAY
84%
12%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 2
FOR
9%
21%
70%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAY
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 0
CAS
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 1
AGU
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
AGU
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |