Patronato vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
37.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 1
PAT
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 2
ALM
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAT
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
GBR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
RAC
3 - 1
PAT
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 2
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 4
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
ALD
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 1
QUI
34%
29%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |