Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 1
PAT
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
BOC
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAT
3 - 2
HUR
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GOD
0 - 1
PAT
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 1
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia y Tiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
GYT
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 1
GYT
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GYT
3 - 0
GIM
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
GYT
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GYT
2 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |