Patronato vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
CHI
75%
18%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
PAT
22%
28%
50%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
PAT
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 1
EST
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
PAT
19%
29%
52%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
5 - 0
CAN
74%
19%
8%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 0
CIE
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
HUA
1 - 1
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |