Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 1-3
Patronato vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 0
PAT
17%
27%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
3 - 1
FLA
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAT
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 1
PAT
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
CAD
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
BOT
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAG
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
CUI
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |