Patrocinense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.5%
70.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
20.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
28.5%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 0
POR
24%
31%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 1
BRA
27%
30%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAT
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
PAT
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 1
ATM
35%
28%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
FLA
0 - 3
ATM
51%
25%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
GOI
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |