Patriotas Boyacá vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 1
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 2
NAC
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 2
PAT
30%
31%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
PAT
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MIL
4 - 2
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
HUI
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 3
MIL
29%
28%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |