PAS Giannina vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
54.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
14º
14º
42
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAS Giannina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GIA
1 - 4
LAM
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 1
GIA
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
GIA
0 - 2
PAN
55%
25%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAO
4 - 0
GIA
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
GIA
2 - 1
TRI
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
ARI
18%
26%
56%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
NIK
2 - 2
ARI
11%
21%
68%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KIF
0 - 1
ARI
15%
25%
60%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 0
NIK
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 2
OLP
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |