Parma vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
UDI
1 - 2
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
ROM
14%
21%
66%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 1
PAR
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 1
BOL
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 1
SPA
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
UDI
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |