Parma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
PAR
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 5
PAR
20%
24%
56%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ASV
0 - 0
PAR
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 2
PAR
16%
22%
61%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ACM
3 - 1
LAZ
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VCF
2 - 1
ACM
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 3
ACM
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 2
LIV
26%
23%
50%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 5
MAC
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |